Arguing that "consciousness arises from a computational substrate, and since AI models are computation, they are likely conscious," is as meaningless as arguing that "living creatures are made of atoms, and since this rock is made of atoms, it is likely alive." Everything is computation. Sometimes incredibly sophisticated computation, like a chess engine, AlphaGo, google3, or the Linux kernel. That does not make it conscious. A rock being made of atoms does not confer it any of the properties we associate with living things, also made of atoms. Likewise a static input-output program that has *none* of the properties we associate with conscious beings (e.g. information integration, interoception, temporal binding, embodiment, etc.) has no more reason to be presumed conscious than a rock has to be presumed alive. Humanity has not yet created a conscious computer program, and there are no signs we are close to doing so. When we get close, the case for machine consciousness will be backed by evidence and corroborated by consciousness science (which is a thing), not by evidence-free wishful thinking and cargo culting.
The notion that current AI models are sentient and can suffer, combined with the foolish idea that suffering can be mathematically quantified and weighted between humans and non-humans, could lead us down an incredibly dark and dystopian path. But before it gets to that point, it will rightfully be met with immense backlash from team humans.
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This is yet another post from another otherwise-rational person reasoning backwards from “I REALLY wouldn’t like it if X were true” to “anyone who even ENTERTAINS the truth value of X is an evil fool!” For no other X would you accept this pattern of reasoning. Frontier AIs have all sorts of rich and surprising internal dynamics and this question is totally reasonable to ask. If you don’t want potentially conscious AIs to be built, I would suggest directing these concerns (I share many of them) the people actually building these systems, rather than the tiny number of people checking whether the systems these people built are potentially conscious.